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Radiation

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Watching TEPCO handle the Fukushima reactor crisis, I’m reminded of Strother Martin’s famous line, “What we got here is failure to communicate.”

TEPCO’s failure was so  complete that it is difficult to focus on any part, but for the moment let’s consider how to it dealt with the numbers.  In crisis communication, as in investor relations, there are the numbers and there is no changing those.  They are what they are. Your only hope is explaining “why” they are what they are, and, if you’re really lucky, “how” you’ll try to change them.  That’s it.

If the corporation does not put its numbers in context, someone else will, and they are under no obligation to do it fairly.  The anti-nuclear energy crowd seems to be better organized and often appears as the sole nuclear expert in news stories, such as in the fourth paragraph here.

Let’s look at the coverage of the upgrade of the crisis to a Level 7, here, here, and here.   Fukushima’s upgrade was based on the total amount of radiation released – roughly 10 percent (though if the release continues, much more) of Chernobyl.  This needed to be part of the lead and in the headline: “Crisis upgraded to Level 7 based on total radiation released,” but look how far into these stories you have to read before you get to the number.  This is the “why” of the story, but its near the middle or lower in every story.  Now look at TEPCO’s handling of it.  It could have cited why it was rated a Level 7, but it simply acknowledges the rating.  I know, regulations and all that, but there could have been something more here.  This looks like TEPCO falling on its sword rather than trying to give a full, honest accounting.

TEPCO consistently posts data without much explanation.  Most of what it does is simply from tradition and style.  There is a reluctance for  Japanese corporations to explain themselves and this really hurts them when they have a crisis, particularly if they are dealing with the international press.

There’s nothing wrong with putting your numbers in context if it is accurate.  Putting the numbers in perspective helps people to better understand what the numbers mean — not “x number microsierverts,” but “x number of microsierverts, or the equivalent of half a year’s worth of background radiation.”  Instead, TEPCO simply dumps its data in terse releases that are difficult understand.  If you make it hard for reporters, you make it hard for your company, too.

Recently, TEPCO began pumping out 25,000 tons of highly radioactive water from one of the  reactors.  Does anybody have any idea how much 25,000 tons of water is?  Neither do I.  Maybe engineers measure their water in tons, but everyone else uses volume rather than weight.  Nobody buys half a kilo of water at a convenience store, so why not do what the Wall Street Journal does here and explain the amount in Olympic swimming pool equivalencies.  You learn 25,000 metric tons (2,200 pounds) equals about 10  OSP (Olympic swimming pools).  That’s much easier to imagine than 25,000 tons, which has no meaning to most people.

Press releases  are explanations to the public.  The worse a corporation does with these, the less likely its actions will be understood and the more likely that its information will be doubted.  Opacity looks like a thin veil of deceit and audiences assume that it is.

Several years ago, I advised the Republic of Botswana’s Embassy in Japan.  At that time, Botswana was well known for one number — the highest AIDS/HIV rate in the world.  That was true, but a more accurate statement, and one I insisted upon, was that Botswana had the highest documented AIDS rate in the world.  This often resulted in a parenthetical explanation that many sub-Saharan countries had yet to document AIDS rates.  It also highlighted that Botswana was doing something about its problem, allowing an opening to mention a different number –  a third of all gem quality diamonds came from Botswana and this revenue was used in the war against AIDS.  The story often changed from “highest AIDS rate in the world,” to “diamond revenue in the war against AIDS.”

Crisis communication is almost never about winning the game, but about staying  close and avoiding a devastating loss.  TEPCO’s executives mishandled the crisis, clearly, but the company’s public communications has exacerbated the situation.

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Now that we finally understand the risks of radiation exposure, I would argue that exposure to hyperventilating news coverage is a more serious matter.  I am not alone.  The triple-whammy, as Reuters called it, of  March 11 — monster earthquake, tsunami, and nuclear reactor crisis — precipitated a meltdown the likes of which many of us had never imagined:  A daily barrage of hyperbole from news organizations.  Yes, there were reporters trying to get it right and inform audiences about what was going on.  But there was also a lot of screaming news that fanned fear into a firestorm

As one who sat in Tokyo for more than a week watching TEPCO battle reactors live on TV while checking Twitter, plus several online news feeds, I cannot help but feel that news media let us down — not only in Tokyo, but wherever our families and friends may have been during that time.

It wasn’t until April 1 and this Bloomberg story that I finally felt things were being put into perspective — perspective which most of us in Tokyo during Meltdown Week had had to fight to obtain by going directly to authorities online, such as a physicist at Tokyo University, rather than news sources.  Now we know, and all my friends know, you’ll get more radiation being in Hong Kong than Tokyo, plus the extra you’ll receive from the flight.  Nice to know, but a little late.

A random and incomplete list of complaints:

Click Bait: As a wire news editor back in the dark ages (pre-Internet), I was reminded many times that a reader perusing a newspaper often reads ONLY headlines, and that my job was to get them to stop, read, and, if possible, think.  I avoided misleading headlines that pulled readers into a story but didn’t deliver.  Back then a story’s success wasn’t measured by clicks, with the ultimate goal of  making the “Most Viewed” or “Most Emailed” lists.

Times have changed.  If you read only headlines, then you were in a panic.  Even if you stayed with a story through its entirety it was still difficult not to panic. Here’s CBS, “Food radiation fears move to the forefront”  — terrifying, especially if you miss the subhead: “In the U.S., the fear of radiation from Japan is so great that even figures meant to reassure can instead cause alarm.”  The key quote, however, is:  “We actually see health damage — not from the radiation but from the fear of the radiation,” said Tom McKone of the Department of Environmental Health Sciences at UC Berkeley. “And it’s very real.”  Really? Then shouldn’t the headline have been different, such as, “Fear more damaging than actual radiation, says risk expert.”  It won’t get as many clicks, but it is more accurate.

Here’s one from ABC, which like CBS, usually brought balance to the story, but almost always in the lower half, not in the lead: “Fear of spreading radiation in Japan” comes with the subhead, “Potential radioactive steam from Fukushima plant poses hazard.”  When you get to the actual video,  it’s tagged with “Nuclear Emergency: Fuel at Boiling Point.”  Lots of fear and speculation, and yet it finishes with reporter David Wright taking radioactive readings around Tokyo and finding little except good sushi.  Reassuring?  Not quite.  As a viewer you can’t help but ask, “If there’s no problem, why talk as if there is?”

Reporting accurate, but speculative: Whenever a scientist, or an engineer is asked, “Can you rule out the possibility of the reactor core having meltdown?”  The answer will be, “We cannot rule out the possibility, but…” The rest is buried at the bottom of the story that has a  headline, “Crews Race to Fight Meltdown,” or more understated, yet still alarming, “Meltdown Possible, says Scientist.”  In either case you are focusing on a possibility, not a probability.  That makes all the difference – the situation in Fukushima was and is dangerous because of the possibilities.   However,  there was and is greater probability that it is coming under control.

News commentators: These people aren’t really reporters.  At best, they are authorities in a specific area, often unrelated to what they are talking about.  At worst, they may be the source of all known evil (this is speculation and it is only a possibility rather than a probability).  Most notable early on, was professional racist Rush Limbaugh laughing about environmentally-friendly Japan suffering at the hands of nature.  And then there’s, Nancy Grace of CNN, who according to her bio is a former attorney, but  appears to specialize in screeching fear mongering.  Here she is yelling at the weatherman over whether there is any danger in the U.S. of radiation from Japan.  He insists the US is fine, but Japan has very, very serious problems. Thank you, CNN, for aging my mother another year.

Terms vague and unexplained: Meltdown, of course. Containment, a tricky word, because there are “containments” in the reactor and many other containing layers and walls that could be containing something, but god only knows what or how.  Exposure, as in the “fuel rods are exposed” — sounds dreadful, but exposed how? Above the water or to the open air?  The New York Times was on this, citing a frightening what-if study with 138,000 dying.  Then there were sieverts,  micro and mili.  These often appeared in the same story.  For a while, I thought 100 microsieverts equaled 1milisiervert — an easy mistake that will scare the hell out of you because 1,000 microsierverts actually equals 1 milisiervert.   Dosage: Exposure is measured in hourly increments; you must hang out wherever the radiation is for one hour to get the level described.  And lastly, perspective on the numbers: It wasn’t until nearly two weeks into this mess that many organizations began running explanations of the numbers right after quoting them.  The  number I really appreciated knowing early on came from this site.  The Inverse Square Law — double your distance from the radiation and reduce our exposure to 25 percent of the original distance.

In the end, some of the best information was from experts and their blogs. Welcome to the new era of news media, where disasters are great reality show content, providing background for celebrity journalists (see Anderson Cooper “risking his life”)  — news that entertains, but leaves us none wiser about what happened or why.

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Disasters:

Recap of Tokyo Meltdown Week

March 24, 2011

Enduring Meltdown Week was an experience that none of us will soon forget. Our concerns about radiation were exacerbated by a storm of panicked headlines and rumors that sorely tested our sanity. Here’s how we survived.

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